News for the Egg Industry Worldwide
December 2007/Volume 112 Number 12
H5N1 AI Unlikely to Hit U.S.
Industry News
AEB supports California Egg Battle
Biofuels will Hit All Sectors of the Food Chain
Continuous Egg Washing can Aid Food Safety
Good Future for Products in Russia
Denver Meeting Educates Executives on Egg Production
IPE and IFE Join Forces Again in Atlanta
Calendar
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H5N1 AI Unlikely to Hit U.S.
Global Avian Influenza Update 25 Nov 07
Confirmed Human Cases of Avian I nfluenza A/(H5N1) reported to WHO as of 12 Nov 2007
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Total
Country Cases/Deaths Cases/Deaths Cases/Deaths Cases/Deaths Cases/Deaths Cases/Deaths
Azerbaijan 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 0 0 8 5
Cambodia 0 0 0 0 4 4 2 2 1 1 7 7
China 1 1 0 0 8 5 13 8 3 2 25 16
Djibouti 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
Egypt 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 10 20 5 38 15
Indonesia 00 00 2013 5545 3833 11391
Iraq 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 2
LaoPDR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2
Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
Thailand 0 0 17 12 5 2 3 3 0 0 25 17
Turkey 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 4 0 0 12 4
Viet Nam 3 3 29 20 61 19 0 0 7 4 100 46
Total 4 4 46 32 98 43 115 79 72 48 335 206
Compiled by Dr. Cheryl R. Gustafson, Global Business Unit, Ft. Dodge Animal Health.
The above table shows outbreaks of global avian influenza as of Nov. 25, 2007.
By Edward Clark, Editor
The highly pathogenic Avian Influenza
(AI) strain that has caused so much
havoc in Asia and Africa in recent
years is unlikely to hit the Western Hemisphere, let alone U.S. shores, experts say.
“For it to come here would require very
bad luck or it would have to be intentionally brought in,” says Steve Roney, senior
staff veterinarian for the National Poultry
Improvement Plan in Conyers, Ga.
One key reason why, he says, is that
the strain everyone is concerned about—
H5N1—has not been discovered in any
wild bird populations that frequent Western
Hemisphere flyways. Every year that goes
by without an outbreak makes it less likely
that one will occur, Roney says. “For it to
come here would require illegal smuggling
or have it be intentional,” he says.
Good news on the AI front, Roney adds,
is that it does not seem to be increasing
globally, “It’s talked about less than it was
a year ago.” He notes that there have been
300 cases in people in the past 10 to 11
years, which is actually quite low considering the level of outbreaks in birds and the
intermingling of birds and humans in areas
affected. “I’m not saying it’s not important, but it’s not a hugely important disease
worldwide,” Roney says.
The odds are “very, very, very slim” of
high path AI reaching the United States,
agrees John Brown, manager of veterinary
services for Centurion Poultry Corp., Lexington, Ga. In addition, were an isolated
case to occur, government and industry are
well prepared “to clear it up.” He continues, “We’re in good shape for preparation
on both a state and national level to react
quickly to an outbreak.”
Brown says that were a case to occur in
the United States, it would likely come here
through other than legal channels. Brown
adds that globally, H5N1 is down a little